Many commentators will take the result of the US mid-term elections and gamely step up to start putting the nails into President Obama's political coffin.
Things are looking pretty bleak only two years into his presidency. The last CNN poll before yesterday's voting had Obama's approval rating at below 50 per cent. While 56 per cent thought he didn't have the right priorities for the country. The same poll showed that nearly half those questioned thought Obama's administration to be too liberal. 53 per cent thought his government was trying to do too much.
Now let's consider what the Republican Party in Congress will do now they hold the majority in the House of Representatives. They will try and get Obama to change course, to pull back on big government led projects and act as a barrier to any future totemic pieces of legislation. If handled in the right way, if the White House get their messages right, this will help President Obama in his bid for reelection.
By altering course, just slightly, Obama will be able to say he has listened to the people. On big government, much of the stimulus package hated by many on the right is enshrined in law and trickling through. This means that, however much the Republicans want to reduce the size of the state, it will take time to do. In the meantime, particularly the big infrastructure projects will - if Obama's economics are correct - finally start to make a difference to real people on the ground.
Then there is the politics 'on the hill'. A clear majority want to see their political leaders working together for the good of the country. This is particularly true for soft Republic/Democrats and Independents. These are the voters who will decide the next President of the United States. If Obama demonstrates that he is trying to work with both Houses of Congress while, at the same time, the Republicans follow through on their campaign promise of halting future Presidential Bills, he will be able to position himself right in the centre where modern elections are won.
It will be a bumpy ride set in the context of simply unrealistic expectations of what Obama would be able to achieve. However, the majority of moderate Americans are only just outside Obama's grasp. With a slight adjustment from White House strategists, and a helping hand from Republicans, expect Obama to be victorious in 2012.